Germany's current account surplus in October was 12.497 billion euros.Analysts commented on the ECB's interest rate cut, and Christiansen, an analyst at Danske Bank, said that the restrictive hawkish tendency in the ECB's policy has been eliminated. However, there is no indication that the bank may cut interest rates sharply, and there is no indication that the terminal interest rate will fall. Carsten Brzeski, head of international macro business in the Netherlands, said that the European Central Bank decided to play it safe today and cut interest rates by 25 basis points. No more mention of "restrictive" monetary policy, which means there will be more interest rate cuts in the future. Analyst Randow said that the change in the wording of the European Central Bank indicates that the ECB Committee has discussed the neutral interest rate. Otherwise, how can they decide what is restrictive and what is lenient? I am curious about what Lagarde will say next. Vassilis, a foreign exchange strategist, said that the euro fell to a new low because the European Central Bank gave up the "restrictive policy" part of the statement, but this does not mean that the policy language is completely dovish. Bonds in the euro zone are in a moderate trend.Institutional analysis of the European Central Bank's interest rate resolution: the European Central Bank cut interest rates by 0.25 percentage points, aiming to stabilize the economy that was hit by French debt concerns and trade tariffs that were highly exposed to the threat of US President-elect Trump.
The annual PPI of the United States in November was 3%, and it was expected to be 2.6%. The previous value was revised from 2.40% to 2.6%. The monthly PPI rate of the United States in November was 0.4%, and it was expected to be 0.2%. The previous value was revised from 0.20% to 0.3%. The monthly rate of core PPI in the United States in November was 0.2%, which was expected to be 0.2%, and the previous value was revised from 0.00% to 0.30%. The annual core PPI of the United States in November was 3.4%, expected to be 3.2%, and the previous value was 3.10%.European Central Bank President Lagarde: Potential inflation and inflation continue to return to the target in the same direction.The yield of Italian 10-year government bonds rose by 9 basis points to 3.28%, the highest level since December 2.
The number of people applying for unemployment benefits for the first time in the week of December 7 in the United States was 242,000, with an expected number of 220,000 and a previous value of 224,000. In the United States, the number of people applying for unemployment benefits in the week ending November 30 was 1.886 million, with an expected 1.875 million and a previous value of 1.871 million.The forecast of the European Central Bank assumes that the exchange rate of the euro against the US dollar will be 1.08 in 2024 and 1.06 in 2025, 2026 and 2027.Analysis: The initial application data in the United States unexpectedly rose, and the number of initial jobless claims in the United States unexpectedly rose last week. The number of people receiving unemployment benefits continued to increase at the end of November compared with the beginning of the year, due to the cooling of labor demand. The US Department of Labor announced on Thursday that as of the week of December 7, the number of initial jobless claims increased by 17,000 to 242,000 after seasonal adjustment. Economists had expected that the number of initial jobless claims last week was only 220,000. The jump in initial jobless claims last week may reflect the fluctuation after the Thanksgiving holiday, but it may not mark a sudden change in the job market. The number of initial jobless claims may still fluctuate in the next few weeks, which may make it difficult to understand the job market clearly.
Strategy guide 12-14
Strategy guide
12-14
Strategy guide 12-14